ECONOMIC STATISTICS


Fall, 2008

Economics 521                                                                               Jerry S. Kelly (see Vita)
T,Th 2:00-3:20                                                                                312 Maxwell
104 Tolley                                                                                         x3-2345
                                                                                                        jskelly@syr.edu
Office Hours: Mon, Wed, 2:00-3:30 or by appointment
 

Texts: John E. Freund and Benjamin M. Perles, Modern Elementary Statistics (12th ed.)

Three non-cumulative exams (each worth 30%); approximately once-a-week quizzes or homework (10%). All Syracuse University policies and procedures concerning academic honesty apply to this course [See the SU website on academic integrity].

As soon as possible, email me your name and 10-digit SU ID number. This will allow me to compile a class email list to notify you with any announcements and to arrange key card access to the Maxpal computer lab (030 Eggers).

Intro ppt

1. Descriptive Statistics

Handout: Descriptive statistics

GDP Data / Export data / Kelly data

2. Probability

Dice / Poker deck

Handout: Intro to Probability

[Handouts are in pdf format. To download a free pdf Reader, click here]

Handout: Conditional Probability

Handout: Probability Distributions

Handout: Continuous Distributions

3. First Exam

Approximately Sept. 18th

Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 2007

4. Inferential Statistics

Freund: Chaps. 10, 12, 13 (Omitting starred sections in each chapter)

Handout: Sampling Distribution

Sampling Distribution Display

Standard Normal Tables: Cumulative Probabilities and Interval Probabilities

Handout: Hypothesis Testing

5. Second Exam

Approximately Oct. 30th;


Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 2007

6. Regression

OLS Handout

Excel Handout

Freund: Chaps. 15 and 16

Simple Regression algebra homework

Simple Regression Excel Homework

plus several assigned readings of applied regression analyses.
Fair PPT

7. THIRD EXAM

Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 2007

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Freund exercises up to the first exam:

5.21, 5.22, 5.23, 5.34, 5.35, 5.40, 5.44, 5.54;

6.16, 6.26, 6.46, 6.50, 6.53, 6.58, 6.60, 6.62, 6.67, R79 (p. 175), R81 (p.176)

8.8, 8.10, 8.12, 8.44, 8.46A

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Freund exercises for the second exam:

10.30b; 10.30b again (using Max instead of Mean); 10.30b again (using n = 3 for each of Mean, Median, and Max); Class example (using standard deviation instead of mean); 10. 36; 10.40b

12.2, 12.8, think about: 12.11-12.20, 12.21, 12.28,12.38, 12.39, 12.40

13.4, 13.8

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The exercises that are in bold are assigned homework to be handed in on completion (in class) of the relevant chapter. A few more assigned homework problems will be presented in class. Answers to problems from old exams are also required to be passed in.
 
 
Web Links for Statistics:

General guide to statistics on the Web

Java Applets

t-distribution

More Applets

Statistics jokes

Statistics text

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research

Economic Report of the President

The Chart of the Week

The Election Calculator

FAIRMODEL

Mile record data

Mile record calculations

1954

1999

Grades data

Smith Vote data

Gordon Vote data

Fair Vote data

Fair Book data

Varian article

Red Sox data

Fair PPT

Fair Homework