Economics 521
Jerry S. Kelly (see Vita)
T,Th 2:00-3:20
312 Maxwell
104 Tolley
x3-2345
jskelly@syr.edu
Office Hours: Mon, Wed, 2:00-3:30 or by appointment
Texts: John E. Freund and Benjamin M. Perles, Modern Elementary Statistics (12th ed.)
Three non-cumulative exams (each worth 30%); approximately once-a-week quizzes or homework (10%).
All Syracuse University policies and procedures
concerning academic honesty apply to this course [See the SU website on
academic integrity].
As soon as possible, email me your name and 10-digit SU ID number. This will allow me to compile a class email list to notify you with any announcements and to arrange key card access to the Maxpal computer lab (030 Eggers).
Intro ppt1. Descriptive Statistics
Handout: Descriptive statistics
GDP Data / Export data / Kelly data
2. Probability
[Handouts are in pdf format. To download a free pdf Reader, click here]
Handout: Conditional Probability
Handout: Probability Distributions
Handout: Continuous Distributions
3. First Exam
Approximately Sept. 18th
Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 20074. Inferential Statistics
Freund: Chaps. 10, 12, 13 (Omitting starred sections in each chapter)
Handout: Sampling Distribution
Standard Normal Tables: Cumulative Probabilities and Interval Probabilities
5. Second Exam
Approximately Oct. 30th;
Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 2007
6. Regression
Freund: Chaps. 15 and 16
Simple Regression algebra homework
Simple Regression Excel Homework
plus several assigned readings of applied regression analyses.
Fair PPT
7. THIRD EXAM
Old exams to study from: Fall, 2006 and Fall, 2007
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Freund exercises up to the first exam:
5.21, 5.22, 5.23, 5.34, 5.35, 5.40, 5.44, 5.54;
6.16, 6.26, 6.46, 6.50, 6.53, 6.58, 6.60, 6.62, 6.67, R79 (p. 175), R81 (p.176)
8.8, 8.10, 8.12, 8.44, 8.46A
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Freund exercises for the second exam:
10.30b; 10.30b again (using Max instead of Mean); 10.30b again (using n = 3 for each of Mean, Median, and Max); Class example (using standard deviation instead of mean); 10. 36; 10.40b
12.2, 12.8, think about: 12.11-12.20, 12.21, 12.28,12.38, 12.39, 12.40
13.4, 13.8
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The exercises that are in bold are assigned homework to be handed
in on completion (in class) of the relevant chapter. A few more assigned
homework problems will be presented in class. Answers to problems from old exams are also required to be passed in.
Web Links for Statistics:
General guide to statistics on the Web
Java Applets
t-distribution
More Applets
Statistics jokes
Statistics text
Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research
Economic Report of the President